This foresight exercise explores how global, regional, and local developments could shape Oman’s energy economy by 2040. The goal is not to predict one future, but to develop a set of plausible scenarios that help decision-makers prepare for uncertainty and make better-informed strategic choices.

The workshop recognizes that the global energy system is undergoing structural change: decarbonization, new “green” industries, shifting supply chains, geopolitical tensions, and evolving climate policies. These forces will significantly influence Oman as both an energy producer and an emerging clean-energy hub.

Within the Labour Market Intelligence Analysis (LMIA) framework, the scenarios help evaluate how different energy sectors may thrive — or struggle — under changing external conditions. They also provide a reference point to assess employment potential, economic value, and policy options.

Participants are introduced to key foresight concepts:

Foresight — a structured, participatory process to explore uncertainty and identify strategic implications.
Scenarios — not predictions, but narratives of alternative plausible futures that reveal risks, opportunities, and “unknown unknowns.”